Working Papers
Measuring Merger Effects With Revenue Data
with Xufeng Wang
Abstract   
Draft available upon request
What do mergers do to measured productivity and market power when the accounting boundary itself changes at the deal? In consolidated financial statements, post-merger accounts are reported for the merged perimeter and targets often disappear, so acquirer before--after comparisons mechanically bias measured TFPR and markup changes. We formalize this aggregation problem and propose a virtual consolidation methodology where we pool pre-merger acquirer and target accounts to construct a boundary consistent counterfactual to the post-merger firm. Applying this framework to a representative panel of Spanish firms, we find that revenue-based productivity (TFPR) of the combined entity rises by 2% following horizontal M\&A. However, we document a simultaneous increase in markups of 1.5–4% and a broad-based contraction in the scale of production. The results suggest TFPR gains partly reflect higher markups rather than commensurate improvements in physical productivity.
Multinationals, Intangibles and the Wage Skill Premium
This paper studies the impact of foreign ownership on the wage skill premium by endogenizing skill biased technological change with intangible skill complementarity in production. Increased intangible investment raises the relative demand for skilled labor, which in turn raises the wage skill premium. Foreign owned firms, who are more intangible intensive, amplify this effect. I provide supporting empirical evidence from Spain, documenting aggregate increases in intangible investment and skilled labor compensation. Foreign owned firms operate at a large scale and I show that a change to foreign ownership leads to a scaling up of production, as well as, higher relative employment of skilled workers. I develop a quantitative firm dynamics model with intangible skill complementarity in production and heterogeneity in ownership. Foreign multinationals endogenously enter through acquisition and their subsidiaries receive a technology transfer prompting them to invest at higher levels. An exogenous decline in the intangible investment price triggers the mechanism and further increases foreign entry. Upon matching the decline to the data, the model accounts for nearly forty percent of the increase in the wage skill premium between 2002 and 2017 where about a quarter is attributed to foreign ownership. Through the lens of the model, intangible investment subsidies exclusively for foreign owned firms can increase aggregate output and total factor productivity, but also have welfare implications.
Profits, Labor Share and the Rise of Acquired Intangibles
with Luis Rojas, Raul Santaeulalia-Llopis and Carolina Villegas-Sanchez
Abstract   
Draft available upon request
We study how incorporated firms strategically choose to recognize (or not) acquired intangibles from mergers and acquisitions (M&As) in their business accounts and its implications for the measurement of economic profits and labor share. Our analysis is informed by a business accounting change in the early 2000s that forced the acquirer firms to report the acquired intangibles from M&As.
Before the accounting change, acquirer firms that had the incentive to frontload accounting profits —e.g., through CEO compensation affected by these profits—preferred to record the M&A with an accounting method (pooling) that did not recognize the acquired intangibles. This left acquired intangibles out of both the income statement and the balance sheet, which raises not only accounting profits (as the acquired intangibles are not amortized in the income statement) but also potentially economic profits that use, at face value, only assets recognized in the balance sheet.
Further, by implementing accounting obstacles to pooling, target firms leveraged the acquiror's incentive to frontload profits in order to raise the price of the acquisition, extracting a larger share of the total surplus and, hence, reflecting more accurately the marginal benefit of the acquisition. However, after the accounting change, this leverage ceases to exist, increasing the proportion of the surplus captured by the acquirers as the price paid for the acquisition lowers relative to marginal benefit of the acquisition.
Correcting for the omitted acquired intangibles at the firm level before and after the accounting change, we find measures of economic profits and labor share that are relatively trendless.
Work In Progress
R&D Subsidy Allocation and Selection
with Raul Santaeulalia-Llopis